Memphis vs Uab Prediction, Picks & Odds | 2026

how_to_reg Who will win Memphis vs Uab today: UAB (+110)

UAB enters this matchup with momentum from their 78-67 dismantling of Memphis on 22 February. That victory wasn’t a fluke — the Blazers shot 48% from the field and held Memphis to 39% shooting, forcing 14 turnovers. With a 20-12 overall mark and 11-7 in AAC play, UAB has proven they can win in multiple ways, whether through transition offence or half-court defence.

Memphis, meanwhile, sits at 12-15 after that loss, and their inconsistency has been a season-long issue. While they did win the earlier meeting 90-80 on 5 February, that was at home. The Blazers’ ability to adjust and dominate the rematch suggests they’ve figured out how to neutralise Memphis’s key scorers. UAB’s defensive rating in conference games has been top-four in the AAC, and they force turnovers at a 19% rate — a critical edge against a Memphis team that coughs it up 14 times per game.

The line of +110 offers genuine value. UAB has covered the spread in six of their last nine games against teams with a losing record, and Memphis has failed to cover in four of their last six as a favourite. The Blazers’ blend of experience and defensive discipline makes them the sharper play.

trending_up Memphis vs Uab Over/Under pick: Under 152.5 (-110)

The total has been set at 152.5, but the most recent head-to-head tells a different story. In the 78-67 UAB win, the combined 145 points fell comfortably short of that number. That wasn’t an outlier — UAB’s defence has held opponents to 68.4 points per game over their last five outings, and they rank third in the AAC in defensive efficiency.

Memphis’s offence, while capable of outbursts (they scored 90 in the first meeting), has been erratic. They’ve averaged just 71.2 points in their last six games, and their reliance on isolation scoring leads to low-percentage shots. UAB’s pack-line defence clogs the paint and forces contested jumpers — a recipe for a slower, lower-scoring affair.

Pace is also a factor. Both teams rank in the middle third of the AAC in possessions per game, meaning this won’t be a track meet. With the Blazers’ defensive discipline and Memphis’s offensive inconsistency converging, the under is the sharper side. The 152.5 line looks inflated based on the February 5 shootout, but the February 22 result is the more relevant data point.

payments Memphis vs Uab odds

The market has installed Memphis as a slight favourite, likely due to home-court advantage and the all-time series dominance (44-13). However, the line has moved from an opener of Memphis -3 to -2.5, suggesting sharp money has come in on UAB. The total of 152.5 is a classic “adjustment” number — bookmakers are pricing in the possibility of a repeat of the 170-point first meeting, but the second meeting’s 145-point total is the more reliable guide.

query_stats Memphis vs Uab trend to know

The head-to-head series is overwhelmingly one-sided historically — Memphis leads 44-13 all-time, including 25-3 at home. But the recent form flips that script. UAB has won two of the last three meetings since 2016, including the most recent matchup on 22 February. That’s a major psychological edge for a Blazers team that has already proven they can win in hostile environments (15-10 away in the series).

From a betting perspective, UAB is 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games as an underdog, while Memphis is just 3-7 ATS in their last ten as a favourite. The under is also 5-1 in UAB’s last six games against teams with a losing record, reinforcing the total pick. When the Blazers force 14+ turnovers, they are 8-1 straight up this season — and they forced exactly 14 against Memphis in the last win.

tv How to watch Memphis vs Uab and game info

sports_basketball Memphis

Memphis enters this game with a 12-15 record after the 22 February loss to UAB. The Tigers have struggled for consistency all season, particularly on the defensive end where they allow 76.2 points per game. Their offence, led by a guard-heavy attack, can be explosive — as shown in the 90-80 win over UAB on 5 February — but it’s also prone to long scoring droughts. Turnovers have been a persistent issue, with the team coughing it up 14.3 times per game.

At home, Memphis is 8-5 this season, but that record masks some shaky performances against quality opponents. The Tigers have lost three of their last five home games against teams with a winning record. Their three-point defence has been particularly vulnerable, allowing opponents to shoot 35.2% from deep. Against a UAB team that spaces the floor well, that’s a major concern.

The Tigers’ strength is their ability to push the pace in transition and score in bunches. However, when they face a disciplined half-court defence like UAB’s, their isolation-heavy offence bogs down. If Memphis cannot force turnovers and create easy baskets, they struggle to reach 75 points — a threshold they’ve failed to hit in four of their last six games.

sports_basketball UAB

UAB has been the more consistent side this season, posting a 20-12 overall record and an 11-7 mark in AAC play. The Blazers are battle-tested, having played one of the tougher non-conference schedules in the league. Their defence is the engine of the team — they allow just 68.9 points per game and force 15.1 turnovers per contest, ranking top-3 in the AAC in both categories.

Offensively, UAB is balanced and unselfish. They average 79.2 points per game, but that number is inflated by fast-paced games early in the season. In conference play, they’ve been more methodical, averaging 73.1 points while shooting 46% from the field. The Blazers have four players averaging double figures, led by their senior guard who dropped 22 points in the 78-67 win over Memphis.

The Blazers’ road record is a respectable 8-6, and they’ve won three of their last four away from home. Their ability to execute in hostile environments, combined with a defence that travels well (allowing just 70.3 points on the road), makes them a dangerous underdog. UAB has already proven they can beat Memphis on a neutral floor — doing it again at FedExForum is well within reach.

medical_services Memphis vs Uab latest injuries

Memphis: No major injury concerns reported. The Tigers are expected to be at full strength for this matchup.

UAB: No significant injuries have been reported in the lead-up to this game. The Blazers should have their full rotation available.

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