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sports_baseballMLB event_availableUpdated 17 June 2026

Home Run Props Today 2026: Best MLB HR Prop Bets & Picks

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Hunter Goodman at +245 offers the best blend of raw power and favourable park context tonight — back him to go deep at Wrigley Field.

how_to_reg Best home run prop picks today: Hunter Goodman (+245) and Shea Langeliers (+250)

Expert Pick — Home Run Prop
Hunter Goodman (+245) to hit a home run
20 HR in 68 games — elite power rate, Coors Field carry, favourable matchup

FantasyAlarm’s MLB HR picks have hit in back-to-back days, and tonight’s slate presents another prime opportunity. Hunter Goodman has been one of the most consistent power bats in the league, slugging 20 home runs in just 68 games — a rate of one homer every 3.4 games. That kind of frequency makes him a live underdog at +245, especially with the Rockies visiting the Cubs at Wrigley Field, where wind conditions often aid fly balls.

Shea Langeliers (+250) is another standout. The Athletics catcher has 18 homers in 66 games and faces the Pirates in Oakland — a ballpark that plays neutral but offers a favourable matchup against a Pittsburgh pitching staff that ranks near the bottom in strikeout rate. Langeliers has been crushing fastballs in the zone all season, and his pull-side power plays well against right-handed pitching.

For a longer shot with upside, C.J. Abrams (+440) brings 14 HR in 72 games and the speed-power combo that makes him a threat from both sides of the plate. His barrel rate has climbed steadily, and the Nationals’ series against the Phillies could produce enough pitches in the zone to give him a swing at the fences.

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Best Value HR Prop
C.J. Abrams (+440) — 14 HR, improving barrel rate
High ceiling at long odds, faces a Phillies bullpen that gives up fly balls

While Goodman and Langeliers offer the safest value at short odds, Abrams at +440 provides a much bigger payout with legitimate power upside. His 14 homers in 72 games translate to a homer every 5.1 games — not elite, but his recent swing adjustments have produced a higher launch angle and more consistent hard contact. Against a Phillies pitching staff that ranks 22nd in home runs allowed per nine innings, Abrams has a clear path to a long ball.

Other names to watch include Pete Crow-Armstrong (+330), who has shown flashes of pop in a breakout season, and Dominic Canzone (+390), who has been crushing left-handed pitching. Both are available on FanDuel and offer value relative to their recent form.

payments Top home run prop odds — June 17, 2026

Hunter Goodman
+245
20 HR in 68 games
Shea Langeliers
+250
18 HR in 66 games
Pete Crow-Armstrong
+330
Rising power profile

The market is pricing these props aggressively, with short-odds bats like Goodman and Langeliers reflecting their proven power rates. Longer shots like Zach Neto (+520) and Wilyer Abreu (available on other boards) offer deeper value but carry more variance. FanDuel’s slate includes a HR parlay at +7579, but single-bet plays on the top three provide a stronger risk-reward profile.

query_stats Home run prop trend to know — June 17, 2026

FantasyAlarm’s HR picks have hit in back-to-back days, with Nick Kurtz and Brandon Lowe both going deep on consecutive nights. That streak suggests the models are identifying favourable matchups and park contexts with precision. Tonight’s slate features Rockies at Cubs and Pirates at Athletics — two games where multiple power bats are in play and the pitching matchups are exploitable.

The betting market has seen heavy public action on stars like James Wood, Kyle Schwarber, Yordan Alvarez, Pete Alonso, Shohei Ohtani, Byron Buxton, and Corbin Carroll, according to DraftKings Network. That public money tends to inflate the odds on bigger names, creating value on lesser-known bats like Goodman and Langeliers who offer similar power rates at better prices.

tv Key home run prop matchups — June 17, 2026

MatchupTime (ET)VenueTV
Rockies at Cubs8:05 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV
Pirates at Athletics9:40 PMOakland ColiseumMLB.TV
Nationals at Phillies7:05 PMCitizens Bank ParkMLB.TV

All games are available on MLB.TV with local blackout restrictions. Wrigley Field’s wind patterns tonight favour hitters, while Oakland’s neutral park still allows fly balls to carry well in warm conditions.

sports_baseball Hunter Goodman — Colorado Rockies

Hunter Goodman has been the Rockies’ most consistent power threat this season, slashing .267/.334/.521 with 20 home runs in 68 games. His 7.3% barrel rate and 44.2% hard-hit rate rank among the top third of MLB hitters, and he has shown the ability to drive the ball to all fields. Goodman’s home/road splits are relatively balanced, though Coors Field boosts his power numbers — tonight’s game at Wrigley Field provides a similarly hitter-friendly environment.

Goodman’s approach against right-handed pitching is particularly dangerous. He is hitting .276 with 12 of his 20 homers off righties, and the Cubs are expected to throw a right-handed starter. His pull-side power plays well at Wrigley, where the right-field bleachers are notoriously short. At +245, Goodman offers the best combination of proven power and favourable context on the board.

sports_baseball Shea Langeliers — Oakland Athletics

Shea Langeliers has emerged as one of the most dangerous power-hitting catchers in baseball. His 18 home runs in 66 games give him a homer every 3.7 games — elite production for a position that typically sacrifices offence for defence. Langeliers has been crushing fastballs in the upper third of the zone, and his 48.1% hard-hit rate against four-seamers ranks in the 90th percentile.

The Athletics host the Pirates tonight, and Langeliers has been particularly hot at home, with 10 of his 18 homers coming at the Coliseum. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed the seventh-most home runs per nine innings this season, and their bullpen has been even more vulnerable. At +250, Langeliers is a strong secondary play behind Goodman, especially if you want to spread risk across multiple props.

medical_services Key injuries affecting home run props — June 17, 2026

FantasyAlarm notes that Shane McClanahan and Shohei Ohtani are both on the slate tonight, which could suppress home run opportunities for hitters facing them. McClanahan’s elite strikeout rate and low hard-hit rate make him a tough matchup for any power bat, while Ohtani’s two-way workload means he may not pitch deep into games but still limits scoring chances.

No major injury concerns are reported for the top HR prop targets tonight. Goodman, Langeliers, Abrams, and Crow-Armstrong are all healthy and projected to start. Bettors should monitor lineups an hour before first pitch to confirm each player is in the starting nine.

help Home run prop FAQ — June 17, 2026

Who is the best home run prop bet today?

Hunter Goodman at +245 offers the best value. He has 20 HR in 68 games and faces a favourable matchup at Wrigley Field. Shea Langeliers at +250 is a strong secondary play.

What time do the home run props settle?

Most sportsbooks settle HR props as soon as the player hits a home run during the game. If no home run is hit, the bet loses. Settlement is typically within minutes of the final out.

Where can I bet on home run props?

FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM all offer extensive home run prop markets. FanDuel’s slate tonight includes odds for Goodman, Langeliers, Crow-Armstrong, Abrams, Canzone, Neto, and more.

What is a good home run prop betting strategy?

Focus on players with high home run rates (one every 3-5 games) in favourable ballparks and against weak pitching. Avoid chasing longshots above +600 unless you have strong data. Single bets on +200 to +400 props offer the best risk-reward.

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