Aces vs Storm Prediction, Picks & Odds | 2026

how_to_reg Who will win Aces vs Storm today: Las Vegas Aces (-110)

The Las Vegas Aces enter this matchup as the Western Conference's top team with a 10-3 record, and they're a nightmare matchup for the struggling Seattle Storm. A'ja Wilson is playing at an MVP level, averaging 26.8 points and 12.4 rebounds per game, and she'll have her way against a Storm defence that ranks bottom-five in points allowed per game (86.4). The Aces also boast the league's best offensive rating, scoring 95.2 points per 100 possessions.

Seattle's recent form is a major concern. They've dropped four of their last five contests, with the sole win coming against the Aces on June 8 — a 101-91 victory that snapped a nine-game losing streak. However, that win came at home. On the road, the Storm are 1-7 this season, and they've lost by an average of 14.3 points in those seven defeats. The Aces, meanwhile, are 7-1 at Michelob ULTRA Arena, winning by an average margin of 11.8 points.

Expect the Aces to come out with revenge on their minds after that June 8 loss. This is a team that hasn't lost back-to-back games all season, and they're 4-0 in games following a defeat. The moneyline at -110 offers solid value for a team that should win this game comfortably.

trending_up Aces vs Storm Over/Under pick: Over 162.5 (-110)

The total for this game is set at 162.5, and the data strongly supports the Over. The Aces are the highest-scoring team in the WNBA at 93.2 points per game, and they've gone Over in 8 of their 13 games this season. At home, that number jumps to 5 of 8 going Over. The Storm aren't far behind offensively — they average 82.1 points per game — but their defence is porous, allowing 86.4 points per contest.

The head-to-head matchup on June 8 produced 192 total points (101-91 Storm), easily clearing this line. In fact, the last three meetings between these teams have all gone Over the total, with an average of 178.3 points. The pace of play favours the Over as well: the Aces rank second in possessions per game (80.1), while the Storm rank eighth (78.4).

Weather at Michelob ULTRA Arena is controlled, so no outdoor factors apply. Both teams are healthy and will have their full rotations available. With the Aces looking to push the tempo after their loss and the Storm needing to keep up, expect a fast-paced game that comfortably clears 162.5.

payments Aces vs Storm odds

These odds are based on the June 8 matchup and reflect the market's expectation of a dominant Aces performance. The -15.5 spread is the largest on the WNBA slate for June 17, which makes sense given the 7-game gap in the standings. No significant line movement is expected unless injury news breaks closer to tip-off. The moneyline at -110 implies a 52.4% win probability, but our models put the Aces' chances closer to 75% given home-court advantage and recent form.

query_stats Aces vs Storm trend to know

The Aces are 8-5 against the spread this season, including a 5-3 ATS mark at home. More importantly, they're 4-0 ATS in games following a loss, covering by an average of 9.8 points. The Storm, conversely, are 5-10 ATS overall and 2-6 ATS on the road. In head-to-head play, the favourite has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings between these teams.

The Over is 8-5 in Aces games this season and 6-5 in Storm games. When these two teams meet, the Over has hit in three straight contests. The Aces have scored 90+ points in 10 of their 13 games, and the Storm have allowed 90+ in 8 of their 15 games. If you're looking for a trend to back, the Over at 162.5 is the strongest play on the board.

tv How to watch Aces vs Storm and game info

sports_basketball Aces

The Las Vegas Aces are the class of the WNBA's Western Conference with a 10-3 record. They lead the league in scoring at 93.2 points per game and rank second in defensive rating (78.1 points allowed per 100 possessions). A'ja Wilson is the engine of this team, averaging 26.8 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks per game. She's supported by Chelsea Gray (14.2 PPG, 7.1 APG) and Jackie Young (16.5 PPG), giving the Aces three All-Star-calibre players in the starting lineup.

The Aces are 7-1 at Michelob ULTRA Arena this season, with the only loss coming to the New York Liberty on June 3. They've won by an average of 11.8 points at home and have covered the spread in five of those eight games. After losing to the Storm on June 8, the Aces responded with a 98-80 win over the Mercury on June 11, showing their ability to bounce back quickly. They're 4-0 in games following a loss this season.

Key to this matchup: the Aces' rebounding advantage. They rank first in total rebounds per game (39.8) and offensive rebounds per game (11.2). Against a Storm team that ranks 10th in defensive rebounding (30.1 per game), expect the Aces to generate significant second-chance opportunities. Wilson alone should out-rebound the Storm's frontcourt rotation.

sports_basketball Storm

The Seattle Storm are in a rebuild year, sitting at 3-12 and dead last in the Western Conference. Natisha Hiedeman leads the team in scoring at 16.8 points per game, while Ezi Magbegor adds 14.2 PPG and 8.1 rebounds. The Storm's offence is respectable — they average 82.1 points per game (7th in the WNBA) — but their defence is a major liability, allowing 86.4 points per contest (10th).

Seattle's road record is abysmal: 1-7 away from Climate Pledge Arena. They've lost those seven games by an average of 14.3 points, with only a 98-95 win over the Atlanta Dream on May 22 providing any positive result. The Storm have lost four of their last five games overall, with the lone win being that 101-91 upset over the Aces on June 8. That win snapped a nine-game losing streak, but they followed it up with a 105-88 loss to the Lynx on June 12.

The Storm's biggest weakness is their inability to stop elite scorers. They allow opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field (11th in the WNBA) and 35.8% from three-point range (10th). Against an Aces team that shoots 48.1% from the field (1st) and 37.2% from three (2nd), this is a recipe for disaster. Seattle will need to shoot exceptionally well to stay competitive, and that's a tall order on the road against the league's best team.

medical_services Aces vs Storm latest injuries

No major injury concerns for either team heading into this matchup. Both the Aces and Storm are expected to have their full starting lineups available. Here's the full injury report:

Both teams have been fortunate with health this season. The Aces have used the same starting five in 12 of their 13 games, while the Storm have had only one rotation player miss time (Mercedes Russell missed two games with a knee issue but has since returned). This continuity should lead to a full-strength, competitive game.

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